2017 College Draft Profile: Alex Faedo

School: University of Florida; Class: Junior

Position: RHP; B/T: R/R

Height: 6-5; Weight: 220

Previously Drafted: Detroit Tigers, 40th round, 2014

 

Background: Florida’s done a remarkable job of churning out high caliber pitching prospects – especially last season when A.J. Puk (6th overall), Dane Dunning (29th), Logan Shore (47th), Shaun Anderson (88th), Scott Moss 108th) were all taken before the fifth round last year. And Faedo, a massive 6-foot-5, 220-pound Florida native, will – barring some catastrophe – follow in his former teammates’ footsteps.

The hard-throwing right-hander burst onto the scene as a true freshman for the Gators, throwing 61.1 innings between the bullpen and rotation, averaging 8.66 strikeouts and just 2.35 walks per nine innings to go along with a 6-1 record and a 3.23 ERA. Faedo’s production leapt into another stratosphere during his sophomore campaign: in 104.2 innings of work, the big righty posted an impeccable 133-to-21 strikeout-to-walk ratio. This season, at the time of the writing, Faedo’s fanned 93 and walked 25 in 78.0 innings (12 starts).

He also starred for Team USA during the 2016 summer as well: in 16 innings with the club, Faedo fanned 21, walked just 3, and allowed one measly earned run in four appearances.

For his career, he’s averaging 10.51 strikeouts and just 2.29 walks per nine innings to go along with a 2.95 ERA and a 26-5 win-loss record.

Projection: Not quite the same pitching prospect – in terms of production – as UNC’s J.B. Bukauskas. But Faedo is still one of the top arms available in this year’s draft class.

Consider the following little tidbits about the former Tigers late round flier:

  • Between 2011 and 2016 there’s just four instances in which a pitcher has averaged 11.0 strikeouts and fewer than two walks every nine innings (minimum 100 innings): Mark Appel, Danny Hultzen, Taylor Clarke, and, of course, Alex Faedo.
  • Of those four instances, Appel achieved the feat when he was a senior at Stanford; Hultzen was a junior at Virginia; and Clarke was a junior at the College of Charleston. Faedo accomplished it as a sophomore.
  • Two of those three pitchers, Appel and Hultzen, were taken as the first and second picks in their respective drafts.
  • Looking exclusively at Fraedo’s junior campaign, there has been 35 instances of a pitcher who has averaged at least 10.5K/9, fewer than 3.0 BB/9, and an ERA below 2.5 since 2011 (minimum 75 innings). Of those instances, 20 of them would/have become solid or better prospects: Appel, Trevor Bauer, Andrew Chafin, Clarke, Zac Curtis, Jeff Degano, Jerad Eickhoff, Brandon Finnegan, Kyle Freeland, Jon Gray, Andrew Heaney, Danny Hultzen, Eric Lauer, Jack Leathersich, Jeremy Rhoades, Carlos Rodon, Matt Strahm, Marcus Stroman, Nick Tropeano, and Luke Weaver.

 

Faedo looks like a nice, safe #2/#3 type arm with some upside. He has size, projectability, and a track record of success.

Ceiling: 3.5- to 4.0-win player

Floor:  2.0-win player

Risk: Moderate

Grade: First Round



About

After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.