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2016 Draft Profile: Zack Brown

School: University of Kentucky; Class: Junior

Position: RHP; B/T: R/R

Height: 6-2; Weight: 200

Previously Drafted: Chicago Cubs, 38th round, 2013

 

Background: Overshadowed – and with good reason – by rotation-mates Kyle Cody and Dustin Beggs, Brown really hasn’t progressed since the Cubs made him a 38th round pick coming out of high school. The 6-foot-2, 200-pound right-hander made 19 appearances during his freshman season, five of which were starts, and he averaged 5.65 strikeouts and 3.45 walk per nine innings.

He followed that up with another ho-hum season – though his 3.48 ERA would lead you to believe otherwise – as he posted a mediocre 71-to-38 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 93.0 innings of work. And, of course, he completed the trifecta of mediocrity during his junior campaign in 2016: 84.1 IP, 62 K, 34 BB, and 6.08 ERA.

 

Projection: Now onto the reasons as of WHY: Brown really struggles with the long ball; he’s coughed up 17 of them over his last 177.1 innings of work – or just about one every game. It’s awfully difficult to win games when you (A) have a propensity for the homer, (B) doesn’t miss a whole lot of bats, and (C) has borderline control.

At best Brown’s a backend starts, but he’s more likely going to be pushed into a relief role – and probably quickly.

 

Ceiling: 0.5- to 1.0-win player

Floor: Replacement Level

Risk:  Moderate

Grade: Fifth Round



About

After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.


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