2016 Draft Profile: Heath Quinn

School: Samford University; Class: Junior

Position: RF; B/T: R/R

Height: 6-3; Weight: 220

Previously Drafted: Cleveland Indians, 12th round, 2013

 

Background: Easily the best bat to come out of Samford University since Phil Ervin, the Cincinnati Reds’ first pick in 2013. Quinn, who was drafted relatively high coming out of high school by the Indians – 351st overall, 12th round – hasn’t stopped hitting since entering the collegiate ranks. He opened up his career by slugging .319/.398/.533 with a whopping 20 doubles, one triple, and nine homeruns. The lone red: he posted a disappointing – even for a freshman – 62-to-29 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

The toolsy corner outfielder followed that up with an even better sophomore campaign: he slugged .340/.418/.580 with 11 doubles, two triples, 14 homeruns, and eight stolen bases (in nine attempts). The best part? He shaved his strikeout percentage from 23.3% down to a less troublesome 16.1%.

Quinn also spent the summer – successfully, by the way – with the Falmouth Commodores in the Cape Cod League, hitting .317/.384/.486, though his strikeout-to-walk ratio (34-to-11) continued to frustrate.

This season, his last at the school, Quinn’s production has been paralleled by few in the draft class: .343/.452/.682, 17 doubles, one triple, 21 homeruns, and a 55-to-44 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

 

Projection: Far better overall production than Ervin throughout their respective collegiate careers with the added caveat that his plate discipline numbers are definitely worse. Quin has plenty of power, perhaps peaking in the 20- to 25-homerun range in professional ball, with an improving eye at the plate. The problem – or perhaps the question – will always be whether he can make enough contact.

He’s not as athletic as Ervin, so don’t expect him to go in the opening round, but Quinn could be a nice little gamble in the supplement and/or second rounds.

 

Ceiling: 2.0-win player

Floor: 1.0-win player

Risk:  Moderate to High

Grade: Second Round

 



About

After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.