2016 Draft Profile: Buddy Reed

School: University of Florida; Class: Junior

Position: OF; B/T: B/R

Height: 6-4; Weight: 210

Previously Drafted: Texas Rangers, 35th round, 2013

 

Background: The former 35th round pick by the Rangers coming out of high school didn’t exactly handle the transition into big time collegiate baseball as well as expected: he batted a disappointing .244/.316/.286 with just seven doubles and a 38-to-18 strikeout-to-walk ratio. But Reed, a well-built 6-foot-4, 210-pound outfielder out of Newport, Rhode Island, certainly blossomed during his sophomore season with the Gators. In more than 300 trips to the plate, he slugged .305/.367/.433 with 14 doubles, five triples, four homeruns, and swiped 18 bags in 26 total attempts.

Reed would earn an invite to Team USA during the summer. And he continued to show some offensive promise as he slugged .326/.364/.391 with another three doubles while going four-for-five in the stolen base category.

This season Reed’s production has taken a noticeable step backward as he’s hit just .278/.371/.434 with nine doubles and tying career-highs in triples (five) and homeruns (four). He’s also gone a perfect 22-for-22 when it comes to stealing bases.

 

Projection: One of the more recognizable bats in the collegiate class this summer, Reed’s never quite lived up to the hype though. His massive frame is a bit deceiving when it comes to expected power vs. actual output. He’s never posted a slugging percentage about .434, nor has he hit more than four homeruns in a season (at the time of the writing, at least). And what’s even more concerning are his swing-and-miss tendencies: he’s fanned in more than 19% of his plate appearances the last two seasons.

Reed looks like a nice second/third round talent with a fairly limited ceiling/high floor. His speed looks to be his best offering. And he has the potential to develop into a fourth outfield-type down the line.

 

Ceiling:   1.5-win player

Floor:  1.0-win player

Risk:  Moderate

Grade: Second/Third Round

 



About

After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.