2016 Draft Profile: Justin Dunn

School: Boston College; Class: Junior

Position: RHP; B/T: B/R

Height: 6-2; Weight: 184

Previously Drafted: Los Angeles Dodgers, 37th round, 2013


Background: In Boston College’s less-than-illustrious baseball history only one right-hander – former Cardinals prospect Chris Lambert – has ever been drafted before the seventh round. Well, Dunn, a 6-foot-2, 184-pounder out of Washington, CT, has been an absolute revelation for the Golden Eagles during his junior campaign. In a bit of swing-man role the right-hander has thrown a career-best 53.1 innings with a 1.35 ERA to go along with a sparkling 55-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Six of his 16 appearances have been starts.

Last year, Dunn – again – split time between the rotation and bullpen, throwing 47.1 innings with a mediocre 46-to-21 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

For his career, he’s sporting a 3.50 ERA across 113+ innings with 113 whiffs and 47 walks.


Projection: Interesting story: Last year I was up in the New England area for week for about 10 days. I finished up early one Friday or Saturday afternoon so I looked up the Cape Cod Summer League schedule and headed up to see the Cotuit Kettleers at their home park – which, coincidentally, was the team Dunn was playing for.

It was just one game, but it was pretty clear that the right-hander out of BC, who threw an inning or two in relief, was the best prospect out there. I parked myself next to scout with a radar gun and Dunn easily had the best fastball of the bunch, sitting comfortably at 92 mph. But his secondary pitches seemed a little flat – at least on that particularly day.

Anyway, Dunn doesn’t have an overwhelmingly large track record – he’s tallied just over 100 innings – in three years, so there tends to be a lot of noise in the sample size. He’s battle control issues the first two seasons, but has found the zone with much better regularity in 2016. He’s not overly big – and based off of what I saw on that day, which, again, is just one day – he looked like a fringy starter pitching prospect.

I could, however, see him carve out a career as sort of a right-handed version of Tony Sipp, a reliable, sometimes underrated middle reliever.


Ceiling:  1.5-win player

Floor: 0.5-win player

Risk: Moderate

Grade: Second/Third Round


After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.