2016 Draft Profile: Nick Senzel

School: University of Tennessee; Class: Junior

Position: 3B; B/T: R/R

Height: 61; Weight: 205

Previously Drafted: N/A

Background: Senzel, who originally committed to Georgia but switched allegiances to UT after coach David Perno was fired, has been a three-year mainstay in the heart of the Volunteers’ lineup. The 6-foot-1, 205-pounder, who spent the majority of his freshman season as the team’s designated hitter, slugged .315/.419/.420 with 12 doubles, a pair of triples, and one homerun while swiping 14 bags in 17 attempts. Senzel followed that up with an even better sophomore campaign as well: in 228 trips to the plate, Senzel batted .325/.399/.495 with another dozen doubles, five triples, four homeruns, and seven stolen bases. That production earned him a trip to the premier summer league: The Cape Cod.

In 40 games with the Brewster Whitecaps, Senzel slugged .364/.418/.558 with 16 doubles, one triple, and four homeruns, the eighth best mark in the league. He also earned the nod as the league Most Valuable Player.

Forty-nine games into his junior campaign, the well-built third baseman is putting together a career year: .343/.441/.591 with 19 doubles, one triple, and eight homeruns while going 23-for-24 in the stolen base department.

Projection: Easily one of the top collegiate bats available in this year’s class, Senzel is offering some of the best plate discipline in the country: he’s walked 32 times and whiffed on just 17 occurrences. And his production this season puts him into some rare company.

Between 2011 and 2015, only one other player – 2015 second round pick Donnie Dewees – has met the following criteria: 200 at bats, 30 walks, fewer than 20 strikeouts, .330 batting average, .430 OBP, .575 SLG, 20 stolen bases and eight or more homeruns. And Senzel has faced far superior competition in the SEC as compared to Dewees, who starred in the Atlantic Sun Conference.

Think of Senzel as a similar player to that of Houston’s Colin Moran, with a slightly better upside.

Ceiling:   2.5- to 3.0-win player

Floor:  1.5-win player

Risk:  Moderate

Grade: First Round



About

After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.