2015 Draft Profile: Scott Kingery

School: Arizona; Class: Junior

Position: 2B; B/T: R/R

Height: 5-11; Weight: 175

Previously Drafted: N/A

 

Background: One of the better prep players to get bypassed in the draft a couple years ago, Kingery was named a First Team All-American by Louisville Slugger and a Second Team All-American by Baseball America for slugging .485 with eight homeruns, 36 RBIs, and 12 stolen bases.

Kingery appeared in 41 games for the Wildcats as a true freshman in 2013, posting a solid .261/.374/.357 triple-slash line with an impressive – for a freshman – 17-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio. His draft stock started to rise the following year as he had a coming out party of sorts, mashing to the tune of .354/.456/.467 with 11 double, fou triples, one homerun, and 19 stolen bases. He carried that production over into the Cape Cod Summer League as well, hitting .312/.400/.416 with the Brewster White Caps.

This year, however, with some added pressure as being named on multiple Preseason All-American Lists, Kingery owns the single most impressive triple-slash line in college baseball – at any level. He’s sporting an absurd .467/.500/.715 mark while already setting career highs in nearly every offensive category – despite appearing in 23 fewer games than the previous season (as of May 15th).

 

Projection: Let’s just put this into perspective a bit. Consider the following comparison:

Player Year AVG OBP SLG OPS
Scott Kingery Junior 0.467 0.500 0.715 1.215
Kris Bryant Junior 0.329 0.493 0.820 1.313

 

A few things to note, obviously:

  • Bryant averaged a homerun every 7.4 at bats that season; Kingery has averaged a dinger every 34.25 at bats.
  • And just like Bryant’s home field in Nevada, Kingery spends a lot of his time in an incredibly offensive-friendly environment.

Kingery spent his first two seasons with the Wildcats showcasing a better-than-average eye at the plate, but he’s showing far less patience this season, walking in just over 5% of his trips to the plate. That number will likely jump back up to around 7.5% to 8.0% in the professional ranks.

A little bit of speed, not a whole lot of power despite the .515 career slugging percentage, but a strong hit tool.

In terms of absolute upside, think Dustin Pedroia 2014 – .278/.337/.376. Roughly a league-average offensive performer, but that comes with the risk of his production being so inflated by his home park.

 

Ceiling:  1.5- to 2.0-win player

Floor:  1.0-win player

Risk:  Moderate

 

 

Photo Courtesy of Jason Bartel via azdesertswarm.com

 



About

After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.