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School: Ole Miss; Class: Junior
Position: RHP; B/T: L/R
Height: 6-5; Weight: 205 pounds
Previously Drafted: Los Angeles Dodgers, 50th round, 2011
Background: From little used reliever in his first two seasons to staff ace the next, Ellis, a 6-foot-5 right-hander out of Hoover, AL, has been nothing short of dominant for the Rebs this season.
A strong freshman season out of the bullpen (31.2, 29 K’s, and eight BB’s) turned into an atrocious, injury-shortened sophomore campaign (21.0 IP, 16 K’s, 11 BB’s, and a 5.57 ERA). Finally healthy, Ellis looked pretty solid in the Cape last summer, throwing 37.2 innings against some of the best collegiate competition in the country, striking out 23 and walking 10.
This season the former Dodgers draft pick has thrown 82.1 innings while striking out 50 and walking 27.
Projection: A lesser version of Ole Miss’ ace from last year, Bobby Wahl, who was a fifth round pick by Oakland, Ellis hasn’t missed a whole lot of bats since his freshman season. And while the control is a tangible, repeatable skill, it’s not enough to compensate for his inability to miss bats. With that being said, there is some rotational upside.
Ellis has made just 16 starts with Ole Miss, 13 of which have come this season. And, again, he missed the majority of last year too. He’s probably going to get two, maybe three seasons in the minors to prove he can stick in the rotation. If not, the arsenal definitely plays up in the pen.
Ceiling: 1.5-win player (starter); 0.5- to 1.0-win player (reliever)
Floor: Replacement Level to0.5-win player
Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Low (starter); Moderate (reliever)
Draft Projection: Third/Fourth Round
Photo Courtesy of Joshua McCoy, Ole Miss Athletics via OleMiss.247sports.com.