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School: Virginia; Class: Junior
Position: 2B; B/T: L/R
Height: 6-2; Weight: 180 pounds
Previously Drafted: N/A
Background: After a sluggish start to the season – he was batting .258/.388/.303 with just three extra-base hits on March 17th – Cogswell has turned it around enough to push his line back towards respectability. Through the Cavaliers’ first 50 games, the lefty-swinging second baseman is hitting .295/.397/.333 with seven doubles and five stolen bases.
As part of one of the more feared lineups in college baseball, Cogswell looked like a potential first round pick entering the year. Between his freshman and sophomore campaigns his production jumped from passable (.260/.419/.360) to extraordinary (.346/.464/.451). But he hasn’t been able to fully rebound from his struggles in the Cape last summer (.230/.324/.240).
Projection: It’s almost too easy predict, which, of course, means I’ll be completely off the mark on this one. But some numbers savvy team – Rays, Red Sox, Cubs, Astros, and maybe the Indians – will likely take a mid-round flier on the second baseman.
Cogswell has one standout tool: his eye at the plate. Through his first 596 career plate appearances, he’s walked over 14% of the time and has been plunked another 18 times. The power, which was never even been an average tool, has all but evaporated and there’s certainly enough questions surrounding the hit tool.
Career back up/minor league standout.
Ceiling: 0.5- to 1.0-win player
Floor: Replacement Level to 0.5-win player
Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Moderate
Draft Projection: Eighth Round
Photo Courtesy of Philip Kamrass/Time Union.