2014 Draft Profile: J.D. Davis

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School: Cal State Fullerton; Class: Junior

Position: 1B/RHP; B/T: R/R

Height: 6-3; Weight: 215 pounds

Previously Drafted: Tampa Bay Rays, 5th round, 2011

 

Background: A three-year starter for Cal State Fullerton after spurning the Rays in 2011, Davis looked like a potential breakout player heading into the season. The big 6-foot-3 first baseman took a huge developmental leap forward during his sophomore campaign, topping his freshman OPS by 140 points. He followed that up with a solid showing in the Cape, hitting .311/.402/.447 while being named to the All-Star team.

This season, however, Davis’ development has stagnated a bit, failing to take the next leap and merely settling in as a solid collegiate bat. Through his first 47 games he’s hitting .317/.417/.455 with 11 doubles, three triples, and three homeruns.

Outside of his work with the bat, Davis has also been fairly dominant on the bump. He’s fanned 18 and walkd four in 16.1 innings.

 

Projection: Another prospect that could potentially shift to the mound if he fails to hit in the minor leagues, Davis’ offensive tool kit grades out as merely solid average across the board – he isn’t likely to hit for enough power for the position, the plate discipline is good, not great, and he isn’t likely to hit for a high average.

Add in the fact that Cal State’s home field is definitely hitter-friendly, and all of a sudden his draft prospects aren’t so hot.

At the very best, Davis becomes a James Loney-type hitter. But that’s if everything breaks the right way.

As for his pitching ceiling, it’s somewhere between middle relief fodder and late-inning-arm.

 

Ceiling: 1.5- to 2.0-win player (hitter); 0.5-win player (reliever)

Floor: 0.5-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Low to Moderate

Draft Projection: Third/Fourth Round

 

 

Photo Courtesy of TitanSportsRecap via YouTube.com.

 



About

After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.