2014 Draft Profile: A.J. Reed

 Note: For additional draft profiles click here

School: Kentucky; Class: Junior

Position: 1B/LHP; B/T: :L/L

Height: 6-4; Weight: 240 pounds

Previously Drafted: New York Mets, 25th round, 2011


Background: The elite two-way college player in this year’s class, Reed has been Kentucky’s ace on the mound and best offensive weapon this season. In his first 12 games on the bump, the 6-foot-4 left-hander has posted a tidy 2.20 ERA while showing his customary above-average control/command (2.52 BB/9) and a below-average ability to miss bats (6.37 K/9).

In the box, though, is where he’s done the most damage for the Wildcats.

Reed, the club’s first baseman, has slugged an NCAA Division 1-leading 20 homeruns en route to hitting a scorching hot .358/.486/.786. He’s also added 12 doubles, one triple, and has been plunked 11 times.


Projection: As a pitcher, Reed’s game is based purely on savviness and pitchability. And while is control/command is a tangible skill his complete lack of strikeouts would almost assuredly push him into an eventual bullpen in the minor leagues where he would, at best, be a middle reliever.

His bat, however, could be something special, potentially pushing him up towards the latter half of the first round.

Reed’s plate discipline has been trending in the right direction and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him post walk rates hovering near 9.5% to 10.0%. in the minor leagues. Obviously, the power is an above-average to potentially plus skill. He’s a nice latter half of the middle-of-the-order bat, a good #5/#6 hitter. He’ll probably never hit for average.



Ceiling: 4.0- to 4.5-win player

Floor: 1.5-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Low to Moderate

Draft Projection: First Round


Photo Courtesy of CollegeBaseballToday.com. 



After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.