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School: Virginia; Class: Junior
Position: LF; B/T: L/R
Height: 6-3; Weight: 210 pounds
Previously Drafted: Texas Rangers, 6th round, 2011
Background: The gamble has seemingly paid off for Fisher, who, despite suffering a broken hamate bone this season, will surpass his previous draft selection – sixth round by the Rangers in 2011 – after a solid three-year career for the Cavaliers.
The lefty-swinging corner outfielder showed a vast improvement from his freshman to sophomore seasons, decreasing his strikeout rate by eight percentage points while taking a small step forward in his plate discipline.
Fisher was in the midst of a breakout season before the injury – one that almost always saps a hitter’s power for about a year – forced him out of Virginia’s potent lineup. For his career, he’s a .296/.387/.498 hitter.
Projection: There’s basically two-plus seasons of data to work off of – including his performance in the Cape last summer where he posted the best strikeout-to-walk rate of his career at 20-to-25, so there’s a little more leeway in terms of actual projection.
Fisher’s never going to hit for average, probably peaking around .265 or .270 in the big leagues, but there’s 25-HR pop in his bat with at least a solid-average eye at the plate. Again, though, he’s not likely to show any significant pop until at least the end of 2014 and more likely at some point early in 2015.
And, granted, it’s a pretty small sample size, but it looks like he’s going to be susceptible to those “trendy” defensive shifts that are popping up more and more, according to his spray chart last summer.
In his peak season(s), Fisher could be a potential borderline All-Star thanks to the power shortage currently happening in the majors. At the very worst, he’s a good bench bat.
Ceiling: 3.0- to 3.5-win player
Floor: 1.0- to 1.5-win player
Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Moderate
Draft Projection: First/Second Round
Photo Courtesy of jtwmock.blogspot.com.