2014 Draft Profile: Michael Conforto

Conforto, Michael

 Note: For additional draft profiles click here

School: Oregon State; Class: Junior

Position: LF; B/T: :L/R

Height: 6-2; Weight: 217 pounds

Previously Drafted: N/A

 

Background: Quite remarkable that Conforto went from an undrafted high school player to becoming a two-time member of the USA Baseball Collegiate National Team and a potential top pick – and quite possibly the first collegiate bat taken in June.

Conforto burst onto the scene as a true freshman for Oregon State in 2012, slugging .349/.437/.601 with a team-leading 13 homeruns. He followed that with another impressive showing a year later, taking the important step of improved plate discipline while hitting .328/.447/.526 with 14 doubles, one triple, and 11 homeruns.

This season, the lefty-swinging corner outfielder has taken his production up to an entirely new level. Through his first 35 games, Conforto is hitting .415/.552/.585 with 13 extra-base hits and a career best 33-to-18 walk-to-strikeout ratio.

 

Projection: On the positive side, Conforto spends half his time playing in a rather neutral ballpark. But his sudden decline in homeruns so far is at least a little alarming. His plate discipline has definitely been trending in the right direction throughout his career, posting strikeout-to-walk ratios of 37-to-24, 47-to-41, and 18-to-33 (through 35 games).

Conforto doesn’t show a whole lot of speed, but the power/patience/hit tool combination more than makes up for it. As for as a similar player, think Michael Choice – or at least what Michael Choice was supposed to be, a .290/.340/.480-type hitter with 20+ homerun power. And at the very least, Conforto should be a strong bench bat/platoon option.

 

Ceiling: 4.0-win player

Floor: 1.0 to 1.5-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Moderate to Above-Average

Draft Projection: First Round

 

Photo Courtesy of Athletic Communications via OSUBeavers.com



About

After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.


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  1. May 22, 2014 @ 6:09 PM Names for the First-Round, 2014 Edition | U.S.S. Mariner

    […] Prospect Digest: Michael Conforto Sporting News: Conforto is 2014 Preseason College Baseball Player of the Year Stats […]

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