2014 Draft Profile: Carlos Rodon

Note: For additional draft profiles click here

 

School: N.C. State; Class: Junior

Position: LHP; B/T: L/L

Height: 6-3; Weight: 234 pounds

Previously Drafted: Milwaukee Brewers, 16th round, 2011

 

Background: The awards list matches up with any in the history of college baseball, beginning with winning Louisville Slugger’s National Freshman of the Year in 2012 and more recently being named USA Baseball Player of the Year in 2013 to everything in between, including two All-ACC first team, Freshman All-America, All-America nominations.

Simply put, Rodon has been one of the best players since entering college.

Over his first two seasons, the dominate southpaw has averaged 11.62 K/9 and 3.13 BB/9 while totaling a minuscule 2.33 ERA. And his two summers with Team USA have been just as impressive – three earned runs in 36 innings of work

This year, however, Rodon, like his teammate and potential first round pick Trea Turner, has taken more of a lateral step instead of another expected leap forward. Through his first nine games, the big lefty has fanned 72 (10.29 K/9) and walked 21 (3.0 BB/9).

 

Projection: It’s a bit disconcerting – though not enough to force him out of the top spot as college baseball’s best prospect – that his production has declined from his phenomenal sophomore season, a fact that isn’t aided by some questionable handling by N.C. State’s coaching staff including his 134-pitch, 7.2 innings performance against Duke on April 11.  

He’s been ridden rather hard for a developing pitcher, totaling 247 innings through his first two seasons (not including brief summer league action).

He is what he is, though – the best collegiate player available in this year’s draft, a potential front-of-the-rotation left arm with the rare ability to miss bats and limit free passes. Rodon’s a high ceiling/high floor-type prospect, who, barring any serious injury, should carve out a long, successful career alternating between spurts of dominance and enduring success.  

He’s a legitimate #1/#2-type arm. Think along the lines of David Price. 

 

Ceiling: 5.5– to 6.0-win player

Floor: 2.5- to 3.0-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Moderate to Above-Average

Draft Projection: First Round

 

Photo Courtesy of uspresswire.com via wfmynews2.com.

 



About

After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, ReleasePoints.com. He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at ProspectDigest.com. He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, Cleveland.com and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: JosephMWerner@yahoo.com.