2014 Milwaukee Brewers Top 10 Prospects

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Updated: January 27, 2014
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After a long delay – something measured in the months, not days -  I have a bit of an announcement to make: I will be publishing the first ever Prospect Digest Annual sometime late January/early February.

The Prospect Digest Annual will feature each organization’s Top 30 Prospects, ranking the farm systems, and several additional articles.

Until the big day happens, I will be posting each organization’s Top 10 Prospects, starting with the Arizona Diamondbacks. Enjoy!

For more Top Prospects click HERE

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1. Tyrone Talyor, Position: CF, Age: 20

Level

PA

wRC+

AVG

OBP

SLG

BB%

K%

ISO

2B

3B

HR

SB/AT

A

549

109

.274

.338

.400

6.4%

11.5%

.126

33

2

8

19/27

Profile: Taylor, the club’s second round pick in 2012, acquitted himself nicely in full season ball last year, hitting .274/.338/.400 with a 33 doubles, the sixth highest mark in the Midwest League, a pair of triple, eight homeruns, and 19 stolen bases. He topped the league averaged offense by 9%, a solid showing for a 19-year-old in low Class A.

Analysis: One gets the sense that Taylor is just tapping into what could be an impressive, well-rounded toolkit. The doubles suggest that the power could turn into 15 to 20 HRs down the line. The plate discipline was good, not great. And he has enough speed to peak as a potential 20/20 player.

Ceiling: 4.0-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Moderate

 

2. Nick Delmonico, Position: 1B/3B, Age: 21

Level

PA

wRC+

AVG

OBP

SLG

BB%

K%

ISO

2B

3B

HR

SB/AT

A+

350

116

.232

.346

.423

13.7%

22.9%

.191

16

1

13

7/9

Profile: The Brewers snookered the Orioles last July, acquiring the highly underrated Delmonico for 22 innings of replacement level pitching from Francisco Rodriguez. Delmonico has dealt with a variety of injuries throughout his two-year career, but the power/patience combination is definitely something to gamble on.

Analysis: In a little over a full season’s worth of games, Delmonico, who’s played in 177 contests the last two years, has hit .241/.349/.417 with 38 doubles, one triple, and 24 homeruns while displaying an impressive eye at the plate (12.8% BB-rate) against much older competition. Delmonico could be a Nick Swisher-esque performer sans a few points in OBP, peaking around a .270/.360/.460-type hitter.

Ceiling: 4.0-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Moderate

 

3. Victor Roache, Position: LF, Age: 22

Level

PA

wRC+

AVG

OBP

SLG

BB%

K%

ISO

2B

3B

HR

SB/AT

A

516

113

.248

.322

.440

8.9%

26.6%

.192

14

4

22

6/8

Profile: One of the premier power hitters in college during his sophomore season at Georgia Southern, Roache missed all but six games in 2012 thanks to a pretty serious injury that resulted in six screws and a metal plate being inserted into his left arm and two additional pins in his wrist.

Analysis: The numbers without the proper context are solid, unimpressive. But the fact that he missed his entire junior year and jumped straight into low Class A without missing a beat bodes well for his future. From July through the end of the year, Roache hit .278/.342/.530 with eight doubles, three triples, and 15 homeruns. Plus-power potential, but large swing-and-miss totals.

Ceiling: 4.0-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Low to Moderate

 

4. Jimmy Nelson, Position: RHP, Age: 25

Level

IP

ERA

SIERA

K/9

BB/9

K%

BB%

HR/9

GB%

AA

69.0

2.74

2.92

9.39

1.96

24.9%

5.2%

0.65

49.7%

AAA

83.1

3.67

3.67

9.83

5.40

24.8%

13.6%

0.22

59.5%

MLB

10.0

0.90

4.31

7.20

4.50

21.6%

13.5%

0.00

41.7%

Profile: A big, 6-foot-6 right-hander out of the University of Alabama in 2010, Nelson has quickly made his way through the minor league system, going from low Class A in 2011 to making his MLB debut last year. For his career, the former second round pick has averaged 8.7 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 in 452.1 innings.

Analysis: Nelson flashed a low to mid 90s heater, slider, and hard changeup during his brief stint in Milwaukee. The strikeout totals are impressive, but the control is still lacking. At times it appears to be a solid skill (high Class A in 2012 and Class AA in 2013), but it’s largely been a battle. The worm burners are nice too. Nelson has the talent to be a solid mid rotation starter, but his lack of control will likely force him into a #4-type role, though he does have a #3-type ceiling.   

Ceiling: 2.5- to 3.0-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Moderate

 

5. Taylor Williams, Position: RHP, Age: 22

Level

IP

ERA

SIERA

K/9

BB/9

K%

BB%

HR/9

GB%

RK

42.1

4.25

3.64

8.93

3.61

23.0%

9.3%

1.06

46.7%

Profile: Finally! Love, love, love taking Williams in the fourth round last year. I’ll just leave you with what I wrote prior to the draft from here on out: “Small right-handers out of the MAC typically won’t get noticed, but Williams is sporting some very intriguing numbers this season. Prior to the year, though, he tossed just 10.1 innings at Washington State before spending a year at Mount Hood Community College.”

Analysis: I continued: “The data’s exceptionally limited – good, but limited. And there are not too many DI hurlers that can match his ability to miss bats and pound the zone. But the problem will come down to size, where teams shy away from sub-six-foot right-handers, particularly starters. He’s probably headed for the third round or so, but he’s going to be a steal – if the drafting team keeps him in the rotation.”

Ceiling: 1.5- to 2.0-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Low to Moderate

 

6. Devin Williams, Position: RHP, Age: 19

Level

IP

ERA

SIERA

K/9

BB/9

K%

BB%

HR/9

GB%

RK

34.2

3.38

3.84

10.13

5.71

24.7%

13.9%

0.00

53.8%

Profile: The club’s second round pick last June, Williams missed quite a few bats during his debut, 10.1 K/9, but walked quite a few too (5.7 BB/9).

Analysis: Good build. Nice K-rate. Solid groundball numbers. Of course, the latter two came in 34.1 innings of work.

Ceiling: Too Soon to Tell

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: N/A


7. Barrett Astin, Position: RHP, Age: 22

Level

IP

ERA

SIERA

K/9

BB/9

K%

BB%

HR/9

GB%

RK

37.2

4.30

3.57

7.41

2.63

18.6%

6.6%

1.43

53.2%

Profile: Pitched in the shadows of Ryne Stanek and Colby Suggs, though to a much lesser extent, Astin blossomed during his first year in the rotation. The 2013 second round pick set career bests in ERA (1.79) and walk rate (1.99 BB/9) for Arkansas.

Analysis: A nice third round pick. It wouldn’t be surprising to see his K-rate jump a bit as he learns to adjust to the rotation. The control could be an above-average or better skill. Astin’s career should surpass most of the club’s other early college picks of recent years. Number four guy.

Ceiling: 1.5-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Moderate

 

8. Orlando Arcia, Position: SS, Age: 19

Level

PA

wRC+

AVG

OBP

SLG

BB%

K%

ISO

2B

3B

HR

SB/AT

A

486

84

.251

.314

.333

7.2%

8.2%

.081

14

5

4

20/29

Profile: Missed all of the 2012 after breaking an ankle while sliding into second base. So Arcia’s triple-slash line, .251/.314/.333, borders on respectable given his youth last season, 18, and the fact that he jumped from rookie ball despite missing so much time.

Analysis: After a rough first month of the season, Arcia hit .266/.330/.353, which, again, isn’t terrible considering the surrounding circumstances. The power will probably peak around eight to 10 homeruns, 15 to 20 doubles, 25 stolen bases. In another system Arcia would probably rank as a sleeper prospect. In the Brewers, he’s one of their better ones. Fringe everyday guy now.

Ceiling: 1.0- to 1.5-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Low to Moderate

 

9. Tucker Neuhaus, Position: 2B/SS, Age: 19

Level

PA

wRC+

AVG

OBP

SLG

BB%

K%

ISO

2B

3B

HR

SB/AT

RK

219

79

.231

.311

.303

10.5%

25.6%

.072

12

1

0

6/9

Profile: Wait. Tell if you’ve heard this one before: Neuhaus, the club’s most recent second round pick, had a difficult time adapting to professional ball, hitting .231/.311/.303.

Analysis: Granted it’s still incredibly early and Neuhas did hit .270/.343/.361 during the first two months, but he already has to be giving the Brewers’ front office the heebie-jeebies, right?

Ceiling: Too Soon to Tell

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: N/A

 

10. Gian Rizzo, Position: RHP, Age: 20

Level

IP

ERA

SIERA

K/9

BB/9

K%

BB%

HR/9

GB%

RK

12.0

3.75

6.11

3.75

3.00

9.6%

7.7%

1.50

30.2%

RK

47.0

3.83

2.52

9.96

0.96

26.0%

2.5%

0.19

36.6%

Profile: An intriguing low level arm. Rizzo has fanned 177 and walked just 30 in 174.2 innings of rookie ball.

Analysis: A name to watch as Rizzo (hopefully) heads to full season ball for the first time in his career. The control/command will play, not so sure about the ability to miss bats. So, it wouldn’t be surprising to see his K-rate drop till about 7.5 K/9 to 8.0 K/9 next year.

Ceiling: 1.0- to 1.5-win player

Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Low

 

 

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