Prospect Profile: Matt Davidson

MLB: All Star Futures Game

The Diamondbacks promoted top hitting prospect Matt Davidson, the Futures Game MVP, on August 11. Davidson, a supplemental first rounder in the 2009 draft, turned in another solid season, hitting .278/.348/.484 with 31 doubles, a triple, and 16 homeruns in 108 games with Reno (Pacific Coast League).

According to Weighted Runs Created Plus, which accounts for Reno’s favorable hitting environment, Davidson’s overall offensive production was 16% better than the PCL average. And the 22-year-old’s home/road splits show an unfavorable split: .315/.373/.537 at home vs. .243/.324/.433 on the road.

Prior to the year I ranked him as the D-Backs’ fourth best prospect and #68 in the game, writing:

“Davidson, a 2009 first round pick, took another developmental step forward in 2012, combining an above-average eye at the plate (12.0% BB-rate) with 30+ homerun potential and a strong ability to put the ball in play – a very promising trio of skills. He struggled a bit against right-handers (.236/.342/.441), so he’ll need to improve upon that. Defensively, his bat plays better at third but he apparently leaves him glove on the bench during those games.”

This year his patience at the plate, which was above-average to elite, has merely been solid-average. His strikeout rate jumped nearly five percentage points, going from 21.9% to 26.4%. But he’s done a good job maintaining his above-average power.

Defensively, he remains, well, a work in progress – at least according to the raw data.

Overall, he was incredibly young for the Pacific Coast League and still profiles as potential above-average or better everyday player, though his bat doesn’t play nearly as well at first. 


Photo of Matt Davidson Courtesy of USA TODAY Sports via


After serving as a video scout/analyst for Baseball Info Solutions, Joe Werner began writing at his original site, He’s since transitioned into his current niche, prospect analysis, at He has been fortunate — and incredibly blessed — to have some of his work published and mentioned by several major media outlets, including: ESPN, and the Baseball Research Journal. He can be reached at: