Alex Gonzalez, RHP, Oral Roberts
Class: Junior; Height: 6-3; Weight: 200
Gonzalez was a fairly highly touted high school hurler prior to coming to Oral Roberts. And as freshman, the young right-hander missed some bats (8.5 K/9), showed a pretty good feel for the strike zone (3.66 BB/9), and chewed up a decent amount innings (105.2).
Fast forward two seasons and Gonzalez looks as dominant as ever, striking out 126 (10.01 K/9) and walking just 27 (2.14 BB/9) with a pretty good 3.39 FIP. There are is one problem, or red flag, however: his K-rate regressed quite a bit in his sophomore season (6.91 K/9).
Projection: Gonzalez is a decent grab somewhere around the middle of the first round, but he’s not going to be a star. He may not even make it to the big leagues right away, either. His K-rate will definitely regress once in the professional ranks, and his future will largely depend upon the amount of groundballs he generates — something he’s shown a strong tendency of doing now.
Using CollegeSplits’ spray chart data, the right-hander has induced contact fielded by an infielder at some pretty extreme rates: 60.1% vs. LHs and 51.3% against RHs.
Gonzalez is another one of those low ceiling/high floor-types, sort of like Cincinnati’s Mike Leake.
Ceiling: 2.5- to 3.0-win player
Likelihood of Reaching His Ceiling: Moderate
Drafted: First Round
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